Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova — prediction & probabilities
Aryna SabalenkaVS
Ekaterina Alexandrova73%
Aryna Sabalenka27%
Ekaterina AlexandrovaAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
Aryna Sabalenka
73%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
27%
Straight sets
55%
Match goes the distance
45%
Suggested market
Aryna Sabalenka to win (73%)
OddsWasp confidence
High
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
Aryna SabalenkaEkaterina Alexandrova Elo rating
Key statWorld ranking: Aryna Sabalenka #1 · Ekaterina Alexandrova #19
Head-to-head historyAryna Sabalenka won 1, Ekaterina Alexandrova won 0 of their last 1 recorded meetings
- 2026-06-17Aryna Sabalenka(1) Aryna Sabalenka (BLR) bt Ekaterina Alexandrova (RUS) 6-4 6-4
OddsWasp compared Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (National Bank Open presented by Rogers).
OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 73% for Aryna Sabalenka and 27% for Ekaterina Alexandrova.
OddsWasp's strongest read is Aryna Sabalenka to win, rated at 73%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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