OddsWasp

Vilius Gaubas vs Pablo Carreno Busta — prediction & probabilities

Vilius GaubasVilius Gaubas
VSMillennium Estoril Open
21 July 2026 at 05:00 BST
Pablo Carreno BustaPablo Carreno Busta
42%
Vilius Gaubas
58%
Pablo Carreno Busta
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Vilius Gaubas
42%
Pablo Carreno Busta
58%
Straight sets
51%
Match goes the distance
49%
Suggested market
Pablo Carreno Busta to win (58%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Vilius Gaubas Vilius GaubasPablo Carreno Busta Pablo Carreno Busta
1859
Elo rating
1917
Key statWorld ranking: Vilius Gaubas #128 · Pablo Carreno Busta #65
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp compared Vilius Gaubas and Pablo Carreno Busta using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (Millennium Estoril Open).

OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 42% for Vilius Gaubas and 58% for Pablo Carreno Busta.

OddsWasp's strongest read is Pablo Carreno Busta to win, rated at 58%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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