Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi — prediction & probabilities

Tallon GriekspoorTallon Griekspoor
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
7 August 2026 at 05:00 BST
Matteo ArnaldiMatteo Arnaldi
42%
Tallon Griekspoor
58%
Matteo Arnaldi
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Tallon Griekspoor
42%
Matteo Arnaldi
58%
Straight sets
51%
Match goes the distance
49%
Suggested market
Matteo Arnaldi to win (58%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Tallon Griekspoor Tallon GriekspoorMatteo Arnaldi Matteo Arnaldi
1912
Elo rating
1971
Key statWorld ranking: Tallon Griekspoor #69 · Matteo Arnaldi #35
Head-to-head historyTallon Griekspoor won 0, Matteo Arnaldi won 1 of their last 1 recorded meetings
  • 2026-05-26Matteo ArnaldiMatteo Arnaldi (ITA) bt (29) Tallon Griekspoor (NED) 6-7 (9-11) 6-3 7-6 (8-6) 6-3

OddsWasp compared Tallon Griekspoor and Matteo Arnaldi using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (National Bank Open presented by Rogers).

OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 42% for Tallon Griekspoor and 58% for Matteo Arnaldi.

OddsWasp's strongest read is Matteo Arnaldi to win, rated at 58%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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