Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca — prediction & probabilities

Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
5 August 2026 at 05:00 BST
Joao FonsecaJoao Fonseca
45%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
55%
Joao Fonseca
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OddsWasp confidence: Low

Probabilities

Stefanos Tsitsipas
45%
Joao Fonseca
55%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Joao Fonseca to win (55%)
OddsWasp confidence
Low

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Stefanos Tsitsipas Stefanos TsitsipasJoao Fonseca Joao Fonseca
1960
Elo rating
1994
Key statWorld ranking: Stefanos Tsitsipas #53 · Joao Fonseca #27
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonseca at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Stefanos Tsitsipas a 45% chance of winning the match, against 55% for Joao Fonseca.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Joao Fonseca to win (55%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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