Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic — prediction & probabilities

Sho ShimabukuroSho Shimabukuro
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
3 August 2026 at 17:30 BST
Marin CilicMarin Cilic
49%
Sho Shimabukuro
51%
Marin Cilic
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OddsWasp confidence: Low

Probabilities

Sho Shimabukuro
49%
Marin Cilic
51%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Marin Cilic to win (51%)
OddsWasp confidence
Low

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Sho Shimabukuro Sho ShimabukuroMarin Cilic Marin Cilic
1885
Elo rating
1893
Key statWorld ranking: Sho Shimabukuro #94 · Marin Cilic #86
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Sho Shimabukuro a 49% chance of winning the match, against 51% for Marin Cilic.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Marin Cilic to win (51%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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