Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan — prediction & probabilities

Shintaro MochizukiShintaro Mochizuki
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
4 August 2026 at 20:30 BST
Fabian MarozsanFabian Marozsan
42%
Shintaro Mochizuki
58%
Fabian Marozsan
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Shintaro Mochizuki
42%
Fabian Marozsan
58%
Straight sets
51%
Match goes the distance
49%
Suggested market
Fabian Marozsan to win (58%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Shintaro Mochizuki Shintaro MochizukiFabian Marozsan Fabian Marozsan
1866
Elo rating
1923
Key statWorld ranking: Shintaro Mochizuki #117 · Fabian Marozsan #61
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp compared Shintaro Mochizuki and Fabian Marozsan using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (National Bank Open presented by Rogers).

OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 42% for Shintaro Mochizuki and 58% for Fabian Marozsan.

OddsWasp's strongest read is Fabian Marozsan to win, rated at 58%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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