Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan — prediction & probabilities

Shintaro MochizukiShintaro Mochizuki
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
3 August 2026 at 05:00 BST
Fabian MarozsanFabian Marozsan
41%
Shintaro Mochizuki
59%
Fabian Marozsan
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Shintaro Mochizuki
41%
Fabian Marozsan
59%
Straight sets
51%
Match goes the distance
49%
Suggested market
Fabian Marozsan to win (59%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Shintaro Mochizuki Shintaro MochizukiFabian Marozsan Fabian Marozsan
1869
Elo rating
1932
Key statWorld ranking: Shintaro Mochizuki #114 · Fabian Marozsan #55
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsan at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Shintaro Mochizuki a 41% chance of winning the match, against 59% for Fabian Marozsan.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Fabian Marozsan to win (59%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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