Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci — prediction & probabilities

Sebastian BaezSebastian Baez
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
3 August 2026 at 05:00 BST
Mattia BellucciMattia Bellucci
55%
Sebastian Baez
45%
Mattia Bellucci
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Sebastian Baez
55%
Mattia Bellucci
45%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Sebastian Baez to win (55%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Sebastian Baez Sebastian BaezMattia Bellucci Mattia Bellucci
1935
Elo rating
1898
Key statWorld ranking: Sebastian Baez #53 · Mattia Bellucci #81
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Sebastian Baez a 55% chance of winning the match, against 45% for Mattia Bellucci.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Sebastian Baez to win (55%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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