OddsWasp

Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci — prediction & probabilities

Sebastian BaezSebastian Baez
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
2 August 2026 at 05:00 BST
Mattia BellucciMattia Bellucci
55%
Sebastian Baez
45%
Mattia Bellucci
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Sebastian Baez
55%
Mattia Bellucci
45%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Sebastian Baez to win (55%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Sebastian Baez Sebastian BaezMattia Bellucci Mattia Bellucci
1935
Elo rating
1898
Key statWorld ranking: Sebastian Baez #53 · Mattia Bellucci #81
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp compared Sebastian Baez and Mattia Bellucci using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (National Bank Open presented by Rogers).

OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 55% for Sebastian Baez and 45% for Mattia Bellucci.

OddsWasp's strongest read is Sebastian Baez to win, rated at 55%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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