Raphael Collignon vs Alexei Popyrin — prediction & probabilities

Raphael CollignonRaphael Collignon
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
5 August 2026 at 19:00 BST
Alexei PopyrinAlexei Popyrin
66%
Raphael Collignon
34%
Alexei Popyrin
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Raphael Collignon
66%
Alexei Popyrin
34%
Straight sets
52%
Match goes the distance
48%
Suggested market
Raphael Collignon to win (66%)
OddsWasp confidence
High

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Raphael Collignon Raphael CollignonAlexei Popyrin Alexei Popyrin
1964
Elo rating
1851
Key statWorld ranking: Raphael Collignon #38 · Alexei Popyrin #139
Head-to-head historyRaphael Collignon won 1, Alexei Popyrin won 0 of their last 1 recorded meetings
  • 2026-06-16Raphael CollignonRaphael Collignon (BEL) bt Alexei Popyrin (AUS) 6-4 6-2

OddsWasp ran Raphael Collignon vs Alexei Popyrin at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Raphael Collignon a 66% chance of winning the match, against 34% for Alexei Popyrin.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Raphael Collignon to win (66%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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