Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti — prediction & probabilities
Rafael JodarVS
Lorenzo Musetti55%
Rafael Jodar45%
Lorenzo MusettiAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
Rafael Jodar
55%
Lorenzo Musetti
45%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Rafael Jodar to win (55%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
Elo rating
Key statWorld ranking: Rafael Jodar #15 · Lorenzo Musetti #13
Head-to-head historyRafael Jodar won 1, Lorenzo Musetti won 0 of their last 1 recorded meetings
- 2026-07-31Rafael JodarRafael Jodar (ESP) bt (4) Lorenzo Musetti (ITA) 1-6 6-1 6-4
OddsWasp compared Rafael Jodar and Lorenzo Musetti using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (National Bank Open presented by Rogers).
OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 55% for Rafael Jodar and 45% for Lorenzo Musetti.
OddsWasp's strongest read is Rafael Jodar to win, rated at 55%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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