Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti — prediction & probabilities

Rafael JodarRafael Jodar
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
7 August 2026 at 00:00 BST
Lorenzo MusettiLorenzo Musetti
55%
Rafael Jodar
45%
Lorenzo Musetti
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Rafael Jodar
55%
Lorenzo Musetti
45%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Rafael Jodar to win (55%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Rafael Jodar Rafael JodarLorenzo Musetti Lorenzo Musetti
2045
Elo rating
2010
Key statWorld ranking: Rafael Jodar #15 · Lorenzo Musetti #13
Head-to-head historyRafael Jodar won 1, Lorenzo Musetti won 0 of their last 1 recorded meetings
  • 2026-07-31Rafael JodarRafael Jodar (ESP) bt (4) Lorenzo Musetti (ITA) 1-6 6-1 6-4

OddsWasp compared Rafael Jodar and Lorenzo Musetti using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (National Bank Open presented by Rogers).

OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 55% for Rafael Jodar and 45% for Lorenzo Musetti.

OddsWasp's strongest read is Rafael Jodar to win, rated at 55%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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