Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta — prediction & probabilities

Luca Van AsscheLuca Van Assche
VSMillennium Estoril Open
23 July 2026 at 05:00 BST
Pablo Carreno BustaPablo Carreno Busta
48%
Luca Van Assche
52%
Pablo Carreno Busta
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OddsWasp confidence: Low

Probabilities

Luca Van Assche
48%
Pablo Carreno Busta
52%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Pablo Carreno Busta to win (52%)
OddsWasp confidence
Low

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Luca Van Assche Luca Van AsschePablo Carreno Busta Pablo Carreno Busta
1902
Elo rating
1917
Key statWorld ranking: Luca Van Assche #78 · Pablo Carreno Busta #65
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta at Millennium Estoril Open through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Luca Van Assche a 48% chance of winning the match, against 52% for Pablo Carreno Busta.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Pablo Carreno Busta to win (52%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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