Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Busta — prediction & probabilities

Luca Van AsscheLuca Van Assche
VSMillennium Estoril Open
22 July 2026 at 05:00 BST
Pablo Carreno BustaPablo Carreno Busta
48%
Luca Van Assche
52%
Pablo Carreno Busta
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OddsWasp confidence: Low

Probabilities

Luca Van Assche
48%
Pablo Carreno Busta
52%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Pablo Carreno Busta to win (52%)
OddsWasp confidence
Low

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Luca Van Assche Luca Van AsschePablo Carreno Busta Pablo Carreno Busta
1902
Elo rating
1917
Key statWorld ranking: Luca Van Assche #78 · Pablo Carreno Busta #65
Head-to-head historyLuca Van Assche won 0, Pablo Carreno Busta won 1 of their last 1 recorded meetings
  • 2026-07-23Pablo Carreno Busta

OddsWasp compared Luca Van Assche and Pablo Carreno Busta using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (Millennium Estoril Open).

OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 48% for Luca Van Assche and 52% for Pablo Carreno Busta.

OddsWasp's strongest read is Pablo Carreno Busta to win, rated at 52%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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