Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong — prediction & probabilities

Jan ChoinskiJan Choinski
VSMillennium Estoril Open
21 July 2026 at 05:00 BST
Jesper de JongJesper de Jong
51%
Jan Choinski
49%
Jesper de Jong
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OddsWasp confidence: Low

Probabilities

Jan Choinski
51%
Jesper de Jong
49%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Jan Choinski to win (51%)
OddsWasp confidence
Low

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Jan Choinski Jan ChoinskiJesper de Jong Jesper de Jong
1889
Elo rating
1882
Key statWorld ranking: Jan Choinski #90 · Jesper de Jong #98
Head-to-head historyJan Choinski won 1, Jesper de Jong won 0 of their last 1 recorded meetings
  • 2026-02-21Jan ChoinskiJan Choinski (GBR) bt Jesper De Jong (NED) 6-1 7-6 (7-4)

OddsWasp ran Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong at Millennium Estoril Open through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Jan Choinski a 51% chance of winning the match, against 49% for Jesper de Jong.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Jan Choinski to win (51%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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