James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur — prediction & probabilities

James DuckworthJames Duckworth
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
4 August 2026 at 23:00 BST
Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur
35%
James Duckworth
65%
Alex de Minaur
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

James Duckworth
35%
Alex de Minaur
65%
Straight sets
52%
Match goes the distance
48%
Suggested market
Alex de Minaur to win (65%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

James Duckworth James DuckworthAlex de Minaur Alex de Minaur
1896
Elo rating
2000
Key statWorld ranking: James Duckworth #86 · Alex de Minaur #7
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp compared James Duckworth and Alex de Minaur using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (National Bank Open presented by Rogers).

OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 35% for James Duckworth and 65% for Alex de Minaur.

OddsWasp's strongest read is Alex de Minaur to win, rated at 65%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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