Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik — prediction & probabilities

Jacob FearnleyJacob Fearnley
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
5 August 2026 at 22:00 BST
Jakub MensikJakub Mensik
28%
Jacob Fearnley
72%
Jakub Mensik
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Jacob Fearnley
28%
Jakub Mensik
72%
Straight sets
54%
Match goes the distance
46%
Suggested market
Jakub Mensik to win (72%)
OddsWasp confidence
High

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Jacob Fearnley Jacob FearnleyJakub Mensik Jakub Mensik
1872
Elo rating
2034
Key statWorld ranking: Jacob Fearnley #110 · Jakub Mensik #17
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Jacob Fearnley a 28% chance of winning the match, against 72% for Jakub Mensik.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Jakub Mensik to win (72%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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