Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino — prediction & probabilities

Jacob FearnleyJacob Fearnley
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
4 August 2026 at 17:30 BST
Adrian MannarinoAdrian Mannarino
40%
Jacob Fearnley
60%
Adrian Mannarino
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Jacob Fearnley
40%
Adrian Mannarino
60%
Straight sets
51%
Match goes the distance
49%
Suggested market
Adrian Mannarino to win (60%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Jacob Fearnley Jacob FearnleyAdrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino
1872
Elo rating
1946
Key statWorld ranking: Jacob Fearnley #110 · Adrian Mannarino #47
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp compared Jacob Fearnley and Adrian Mannarino using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (National Bank Open presented by Rogers).

OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 40% for Jacob Fearnley and 60% for Adrian Mannarino.

OddsWasp's strongest read is Adrian Mannarino to win, rated at 60%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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