Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino — prediction & probabilities

Jacob FearnleyJacob Fearnley
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
3 August 2026 at 05:00 BST
Adrian MannarinoAdrian Mannarino
40%
Jacob Fearnley
60%
Adrian Mannarino
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Jacob Fearnley
40%
Adrian Mannarino
60%
Straight sets
51%
Match goes the distance
49%
Suggested market
Adrian Mannarino to win (60%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Jacob Fearnley Jacob FearnleyAdrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino
1872
Elo rating
1946
Key statWorld ranking: Jacob Fearnley #110 · Adrian Mannarino #47
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Jacob Fearnley a 40% chance of winning the match, against 60% for Adrian Mannarino.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Adrian Mannarino to win (60%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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