Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi — prediction & probabilities

Fabian MarozsanFabian Marozsan
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
5 August 2026 at 20:30 BST
Matteo ArnaldiMatteo Arnaldi
43%
Fabian Marozsan
57%
Matteo Arnaldi
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Fabian Marozsan
43%
Matteo Arnaldi
57%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Matteo Arnaldi to win (57%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Fabian Marozsan Fabian MarozsanMatteo Arnaldi Matteo Arnaldi
1923
Elo rating
1971
Key statWorld ranking: Fabian Marozsan #61 · Matteo Arnaldi #35
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Fabian Marozsan a 43% chance of winning the match, against 57% for Matteo Arnaldi.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Matteo Arnaldi to win (57%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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