Daniel Merida vs Alex Michelsen — prediction & probabilities

Daniel MeridaDaniel Merida
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
7 August 2026 at 05:00 BST
Alex MichelsenAlex Michelsen
45%
Daniel Merida
55%
Alex Michelsen
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Daniel Merida
45%
Alex Michelsen
55%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Alex Michelsen to win (55%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Daniel Merida Daniel MeridaAlex Michelsen Alex Michelsen
1920
Elo rating
1955
Key statWorld ranking: Daniel Merida #63 · Alex Michelsen #42
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Daniel Merida vs Alex Michelsen at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Daniel Merida a 45% chance of winning the match, against 55% for Alex Michelsen.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Alex Michelsen to win (55%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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