Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca — prediction & probabilities
Casper RuudVS
Joao Fonseca49%
Casper Ruud51%
Joao FonsecaAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Low
Probabilities
Casper Ruud
49%
Joao Fonseca
51%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Joao Fonseca to win (51%)
OddsWasp confidence
Low
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
Casper RuudJoao Fonseca Elo rating
Key statWorld ranking: Casper Ruud #14 · Joao Fonseca #27
Head-to-head historyCasper Ruud won 0, Joao Fonseca won 2 of their last 2 recorded meetings
- 2026-08-07Joao Fonseca
- 2026-05-31Joao Fonseca(28) Joao Fonseca (BRA) bt (15) Casper Ruud (NOR) 7-5 7-6 (10-8) 5-7 6-2
OddsWasp ran Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.
OddsWasp gives Casper Ruud a 49% chance of winning the match, against 51% for Joao Fonseca.
Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Joao Fonseca to win (51%).
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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