Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur — prediction & probabilities
Cameron NorrieVS
Alex de Minaur45%
Cameron Norrie55%
Alex de MinaurAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Low
Probabilities
Cameron Norrie
45%
Alex de Minaur
55%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Alex de Minaur to win (55%)
OddsWasp confidence
Low
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
Elo rating
Key statWorld ranking: Cameron Norrie #37 · Alex de Minaur #7
Head-to-head historyCameron Norrie won 0, Alex de Minaur won 1 of their last 1 recorded meetings
- 2026-04-07Alex de Minaur(5) Alex de Minaur (AUS) bt Cameron Norrie (GBR) 7-6 (7-5) 2-6 6-2
OddsWasp ran Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.
OddsWasp gives Cameron Norrie a 45% chance of winning the match, against 55% for Alex de Minaur.
Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Alex de Minaur to win (55%).
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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