Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur — prediction & probabilities

Cameron NorrieCameron Norrie
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
6 August 2026 at 05:00 BST
Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur
45%
Cameron Norrie
55%
Alex de Minaur
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OddsWasp confidence: Low

Probabilities

Cameron Norrie
45%
Alex de Minaur
55%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Alex de Minaur to win (55%)
OddsWasp confidence
Low

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Cameron Norrie Cameron NorrieAlex de Minaur Alex de Minaur
1966
Elo rating
2000
Key statWorld ranking: Cameron Norrie #37 · Alex de Minaur #7
Head-to-head historyCameron Norrie won 0, Alex de Minaur won 1 of their last 1 recorded meetings
  • 2026-04-07Alex de Minaur(5) Alex de Minaur (AUS) bt Cameron Norrie (GBR) 7-6 (7-5) 2-6 6-2

OddsWasp ran Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Cameron Norrie a 45% chance of winning the match, against 55% for Alex de Minaur.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Alex de Minaur to win (55%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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