Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez — prediction & probabilities

Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev
VSNordea Open
17 July 2026 · 13:00
Sebastian BaezSebastian Baez
68%
Andrey Rublev
32%
Sebastian Baez
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Andrey Rublev
68%
Sebastian Baez
32%
Straight sets
53%
Match goes the distance
47%
Suggested market
Andrey Rublev to win (68%)
OddsWasp confidence
High

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Andrey Rublev Andrey RublevSebastian Baez Sebastian Baez
1980
Elo rating
1850
Key statWorld ranking: Andrey Rublev #16 · Sebastian Baez #56
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez at Nordea Open through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Andrey Rublev a 68% chance of winning the match, against 32% for Sebastian Baez.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Andrey Rublev to win (68%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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