Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga — prediction & probabilities

Alexei PopyrinAlexei Popyrin
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
4 August 2026 at 05:00 BST
Roman Andres BurruchagaRoman Andres Burruchaga
43%
Alexei Popyrin
57%
Roman Andres Burruchaga
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Alexei Popyrin
43%
Roman Andres Burruchaga
57%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Roman Andres Burruchaga to win (57%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Alexei Popyrin Alexei PopyrinRoman Andres Burruchaga Roman Andres Burruchaga
1877
Elo rating
1927
Key statWorld ranking: Alexei Popyrin #103 · Roman Andres Burruchaga #58
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Alexei Popyrin a 43% chance of winning the match, against 57% for Roman Andres Burruchaga.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Roman Andres Burruchaga to win (57%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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