OddsWasp

Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper — prediction & probabilities

Alex MichelsenAlex Michelsen
VSMubadala DC Open
28 July 2026 at 05:00 BST
Jack DraperJack Draper
35%
Alex Michelsen
65%
Jack Draper
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Alex Michelsen
35%
Jack Draper
65%
Straight sets
52%
Match goes the distance
48%
Suggested market
Jack Draper to win (65%)
OddsWasp confidence
High

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Alex Michelsen Alex MichelsenJack Draper Jack Draper
1951
Elo rating
2060
Key statWorld ranking: Alex Michelsen #44 · Jack Draper #147
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper at Mubadala DC Open through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Alex Michelsen a 35% chance of winning the match, against 65% for Jack Draper.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Jack Draper to win (65%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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