Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo — prediction & probabilities

Alex MichelsenAlex Michelsen
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
5 August 2026 at 05:00 BST
Francisco CerundoloFrancisco Cerundolo
42%
Alex Michelsen
58%
Francisco Cerundolo
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Alex Michelsen
42%
Francisco Cerundolo
58%
Straight sets
51%
Match goes the distance
49%
Suggested market
Francisco Cerundolo to win (58%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Alex Michelsen Alex MichelsenFrancisco Cerundolo Francisco Cerundolo
1955
Elo rating
2008
Key statWorld ranking: Alex Michelsen #42 · Francisco Cerundolo #23
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Alex Michelsen a 42% chance of winning the match, against 58% for Francisco Cerundolo.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Francisco Cerundolo to win (58%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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