Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — prediction & probabilities
Alex de MinaurVS
Stefanos Tsitsipas56%
Alex de Minaur44%
Stefanos TsitsipasAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
Alex de Minaur
56%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
44%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Alex de Minaur to win (56%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
Alex de MinaurStefanos Tsitsipas Elo rating
Key statWorld ranking: Alex de Minaur #6 · Stefanos Tsitsipas #51
Head-to-head historyAlex de Minaur won 0, Stefanos Tsitsipas won 1 of their last 1 recorded meetings
- 2026-07-30Stefanos Tsitsipas
OddsWasp compared Alex de Minaur and Stefanos Tsitsipas using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (Mubadala DC Open).
OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 56% for Alex de Minaur and 44% for Stefanos Tsitsipas.
OddsWasp's strongest read is Alex de Minaur to win, rated at 56%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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