Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — prediction & probabilities
Alex de MinaurVS
Stefanos Tsitsipas56%
Alex de Minaur44%
Stefanos TsitsipasAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
Alex de Minaur
56%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
44%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Alex de Minaur to win (56%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
Alex de MinaurStefanos Tsitsipas Elo rating
Key statWorld ranking: Alex de Minaur #5 · Stefanos Tsitsipas #51
Head-to-head historyAlex de Minaur won 0, Stefanos Tsitsipas won 1 of their last 1 recorded meetings
- 2026-07-27Stefanos Tsitsipas
OddsWasp ran Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas at Mubadala DC Open through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.
OddsWasp gives Alex de Minaur a 56% chance of winning the match, against 44% for Stefanos Tsitsipas.
Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Alex de Minaur to win (56%).
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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