Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — prediction & probabilities

Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur
VSMubadala DC Open
27 July 2026 at 05:00 BST
Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas
56%
Alex de Minaur
44%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Alex de Minaur
56%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
44%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Alex de Minaur to win (56%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Alex de Minaur Alex de MinaurStefanos Tsitsipas Stefanos Tsitsipas
2000
Elo rating
1960
Key statWorld ranking: Alex de Minaur #5 · Stefanos Tsitsipas #51
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp compared Alex de Minaur and Stefanos Tsitsipas using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (Mubadala DC Open).

OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 56% for Alex de Minaur and 44% for Stefanos Tsitsipas.

OddsWasp's strongest read is Alex de Minaur to win, rated at 56%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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