Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima — prediction & probabilities

Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur
VSMubadala DC Open
31 July 2026 at 19:00 BST
Brandon NakashimaBrandon Nakashima
53%
Alex de Minaur
47%
Brandon Nakashima
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OddsWasp confidence: Low

Probabilities

Alex de Minaur
53%
Brandon Nakashima
47%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Alex de Minaur to win (53%)
OddsWasp confidence
Low

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Alex de Minaur Alex de MinaurBrandon Nakashima Brandon Nakashima
2000
Elo rating
1976
Key statWorld ranking: Alex de Minaur #6 · Brandon Nakashima #33
Head-to-head historyAlex de Minaur won 0, Brandon Nakashima won 1 of their last 1 recorded meetings
  • 2026-06-19Brandon NakashimaBrandon Nakashima (USA) bt (1) Alex de Minaur (AUS) 7-5 6-3

OddsWasp ran Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima at Mubadala DC Open through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Alex de Minaur a 53% chance of winning the match, against 47% for Brandon Nakashima.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Alex de Minaur to win (53%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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