New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo FC — prediction & probabilities

New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
VSMLS
8 August 2026 at 21:30 BST
Houston Dynamo FCHouston Dynamo FC
38%
1 — New England Revolution
34%
X
29%
2 — Houston Dynamo FC
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

1 — New England Revolution
38%
X — Draw
34%
2 — Houston Dynamo FC
29%
Over 2.5 goals
24%
Both teams to score
33%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
51%
Over 3.5 goals
9%
Double chance: New England Revolution or draw
71%
Double chance: draw or Houston Dynamo FC
62%
Double chance: either team to win
66%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
22%
New England Revolution to win & over 2.5 goals
13%
Houston Dynamo FC to win & over 2.5 goals
9%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
19%
Expected goals
0.93 : 0.77
Most likely score
0 - 0
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (76%)

Market check

OddsMarket (no-vig)OddsWasp
New England Revolution2.4038.1%38%
Draw3.2528.1%34%
Houston Dynamo FC2.70 opened 2.6533.8%29%

DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-08-04 02:34 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

New England Revolution New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo FC Houston Dynamo FC
1.02
Attack
0.97
0.69
Defence
0.63
Key statExpected goals: 0.93 vs 0.77
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran this MLS meeting between New England Revolution and Houston Dynamo FC through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.

OddsWasp estimates a 38% chance of a home win, 34% for the draw and 29% for an away win, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline.

OddsWasp leans towards Under 2.5 goals (76%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 24% and both teams scoring at 33%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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