SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce — prediction & probabilities

SK Sturm Graz

VSUEFA Champions League Qualifying
11 August 2026 at 19:30 BST

Fenerbahce

44%

1 — SK Sturm Graz

26%

30%

2 — Fenerbahce

Insufficient data

OddsWasp has no rating data for one or both sides here, so the probabilities below reflect venue effects only — not team strength. No pick is published for this match.

Probabilities

1 — SK Sturm Graz

44%

X — Draw

26%

2 — Fenerbahce

30%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Both teams to score

52%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals

73%

Over 3.5 goals

26%

Double chance: SK Sturm Graz or draw

70%

Double chance: draw or Fenerbahce

56%

Double chance: either team to win

74%

No draw & over 2.5 goals

42%

SK Sturm Graz to win & over 2.5 goals

25%

Fenerbahce to win & over 2.5 goals

17%

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

40%

Expected goals

1.45 : 1.15

Most likely score

1 - 1

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

SK Sturm GrazFenerbahce

1.00

Attack

1.00

Defence

1.00

Key statExpected goals: 1.45 vs 1.15

Head-to-head historySK Sturm Graz won 0, Fenerbahce won 1 of their last 1 recorded meetings

2026-08-05Fenerbahce2–0

Ahead of SK Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahce, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the UEFA Champions League Qualifying.

OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 1.45 for SK Sturm Graz and 1.15 for Fenerbahce, translating into probabilities of 44% (home), 26% (draw) and 30% (away).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).