Heart of Midlothian vs SK Sturm Graz — prediction & probabilities

Heart of Midlothian

VSUEFA Champions League Qualifying
28 July 2026 at 19:45 BST

SK Sturm Graz

44%

1 — Heart of Midlothian

26%

30%

2 — SK Sturm Graz

Insufficient data

OddsWasp has no rating data for one or both sides here, so the probabilities below reflect venue effects only — not team strength. No pick is published for this match.

Probabilities

1 — Heart of Midlothian

44%

X — Draw

26%

2 — SK Sturm Graz

30%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Both teams to score

52%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals

73%

Over 3.5 goals

26%

Double chance: Heart of Midlothian or draw

70%

Double chance: draw or SK Sturm Graz

56%

Double chance: either team to win

74%

No draw & over 2.5 goals

42%

Heart of Midlothian to win & over 2.5 goals

25%

SK Sturm Graz to win & over 2.5 goals

17%

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

40%

Expected goals

1.45 : 1.15

Most likely score

1 - 1

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Heart of MidlothianSK Sturm Graz

1.00

Attack

1.00

Defence

1.00

Key statExpected goals: 1.45 vs 1.15

Head-to-head historyHeart of Midlothian won 0, SK Sturm Graz won 1 of their last 1 recorded meetings

2026-07-21SK Sturm Graz4–0

OddsWasp compared Heart of Midlothian and SK Sturm Graz using attacking output, defensive solidity and home advantage in the UEFA Champions League Qualifying.

OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 1.45 for Heart of Midlothian and 1.15 for SK Sturm Graz, translating into probabilities of 44% (home), 26% (draw) and 30% (away).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).