AGF vs Lech Poznan — prediction & probabilities

AGF

VSUEFA Champions League Qualifying
21 July 2026 at 18:00 BST

Lech Poznan

44%

1 — AGF

26%

30%

2 — Lech Poznan

Insufficient data

OddsWasp has no rating data for one or both sides here, so the probabilities below reflect venue effects only — not team strength. No pick is published for this match.

Probabilities

1 — AGF

44%

X — Draw

26%

2 — Lech Poznan

30%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Both teams to score

52%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals

73%

Over 3.5 goals

26%

Double chance: AGF or draw

70%

Double chance: draw or Lech Poznan

56%

Double chance: either team to win

74%

No draw & over 2.5 goals

42%

AGF to win & over 2.5 goals

25%

Lech Poznan to win & over 2.5 goals

17%

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

40%

Expected goals

1.45 : 1.15

Most likely score

1 - 1

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

AGFLech Poznan

1.00

Attack

1.00

Defence

1.00

Key statExpected goals: 1.45 vs 1.15

Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran this UEFA Champions League Qualifying meeting between AGF and Lech Poznan through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.

OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 1.45 for AGF and 1.15 for Lech Poznan, translating into probabilities of 44% (home), 26% (draw) and 30% (away).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).